Turnaround & interim management for mid-sized companies

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Octobiz – Restructure · Revive · Realign

AI by turnaround operators

RXI by Octobiz

Broken, but fixable. Know before the market.

An AI engine built by turnaround operators and calibrated inside live Octobiz mandates. Stage 1 identifies the companies that are likely to fail. Stage 2 shows which of them can be saved and how.

Talk to us about RXI
The two engines
rxi · triage · illustrative
Distress type
Liquidity
Recoverability
68 / 100
recovery type: Operational turnaround

The two engines

Everyone predicts defaults. RXI predicts fixability.

Credit-risk tools tell you whether a company will default. RXI by Octobiz tells you what kind of distress it is in and whether it can be turned around.

Stage 1

Distress typology

Which companies are likely to fail, what kind of distress they are in and how soon it becomes critical.

LiquidityOperationalLeverageStrategicCovenant

Stage 2

Recoverability

Which of these companies can be fixed, which route fits and how likely a turnaround is to succeed.

  • Recoverability index from 0 to 100
  • Probability of a successful turnaround
  • Recovery type of the company

Recovery types

The recovery type answers the first question: Can this company be fixed, and how?

Recovery types: Balance-sheet-fixable (good business, broken balance sheet), operational turnaround (healthy balance sheet, broken business), liquidation bias (both broken), not distressed

RXI places every distressed company in one of four recovery types. The type answers the first question in any workout: Is this company worth saving, and by whom?

  • Balance-sheet-fixable: A good business with a broken balance sheet. A case for credit and fulcrum funds.
  • Operational turnaround: A healthy balance sheet with a broken business. A case for a turnaround operator.
  • Liquidation bias: Both are broken. Rarely fixable.
  • Not distressed: Not a target.

Current status

Stage 1 is live. Stage 2 is in calibration.

Stage 1

Working prototype

Stage 1 already scores companies on public data.

Stage 2

Trained, in calibration

The model and method are in place and are being calibrated on real restructuring cases.

Built by operators

Live mandates

Octobiz turnaround mandates feed real cases and senior judgment into the recovery types.

Interested in RXI by Octobiz?

We share more details in a personal conversation under NDA.

Talk to us about RXI
info@octo.biz

RXI by Octobiz is in development. Outputs shown are illustrative. This page is not an offer of securities or investment advice.